After a thrilling overtime finish in the Daytona 500 last week, the NASCAR Cup Series season will continue at Auto Club Speedway on Sunday with the 2023 Pala Casino 400. The 2023 NASCAR at Fontana green flag is scheduled to drop at 3:30 p.m. ET. Fontana has been a stop on the NASCAR schedule since 1997 and Chevrolet has been the dominant manufacturer recently, winning four of the last six races there. Kyle Larson set a NASCAR Cup Series track record with a 38.760-second lap during his win in 2017 and the native Californian could be a crowd favorite again in 2023.
Larson is also the betting favorite in the latest 2023 Pala Casino 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook at 5-1 after winning the last year’s Wise Power 400 at Fontana. Denny Hamlin (17-2) and Chase Elliott (9-1) are next in the NASCAR at Fontana odds 2023, while seven drivers are just behind them at 10-1. Before scouring the 2023 Pala Casino 400 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Fontana predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 Pala Casino 400 picks from SportsLine’s proven NASCAR model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
McClure’s model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.’s win at the Clash at the Coliseum, returning 20-1, and predicting Joey Logano’s Daytona Duel victory at 8-1. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson’s wins during his historic season. All told, the model has nailed a whopping eight winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2023 NASCAR at Fontana leaderboard.
Top 2023 Pala Casino 400 predictions
One surprise: the model is high on Ryan Blaney, even though he’s a 10-1 long shot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Fontana odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 29-year-old suffered his first winless season since 2016 last year, but snuck into the NASCAR playoffs with Kurt Busch injured and finished eighth in the NASCAR standings.
Blaney has three top-10 finishes in six career starts at Auto Club Speedway and led laps in the last three races at Fontana. He’s also coming off an eighth-place finish at Daytona last week and will be a threat if he can get help from teammates and the rest of the Fords in the 2023 Pala Casino 400 field. See who else to back at SportsLine.
And a massive shocker: Chase Elliott, one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 Pala Casino 400 starting lineup. The 27-year-old already has 18 career NASCAR Cup Series victories and won the championship in 2020. However, he’s struggled historically at Auto Club Speedway.
Elliott has finished 10th or worse in four of his six starts and has yet to reach victory lane in Fontana. He’s also coming off a disappointing run at Daytona, recording a DNF and finishing 38th while collecting just one point in the NASCAR standings after starting inside the top 10. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.
How to make 2023 NASCAR at Fontana picks
The model is also targeting six other drivers with 2023 NASCAR Fontana odds longer than 10-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the Pala Casino 400 2023? And which longshots are a must-back? Check out the latest 2023 NASCAR at Fontana odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2023 Pala Casino 400 leaderboard, all from the model that just nailed the longshot winner of the Clash at the Coliseum and the first Daytona Duel.
2023 Pala Casino 400 odds, lineup
See full 2023 Pala Casino 400 picks at SportsLine
Kyle Larson 5-1
Denny Hamlin 17-2
Chase Elliott 9-1
Kyle Busch 10-1
Tyler Reddick 10-1
Martin Truex Jr. 10-1
Joey Logano 10-1
Christopher Bell 10-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
Ross Chastain 10-1
William Byron 12-1
Kevin Harvick 18-1
Alex Bowman 20-1
Erik Jones 25-1
Bubba Wallace 30-1
Daniel Suarez 35-1
Chase Briscoe 40-1
Austin Dillon 40-1
Ty Gibbs 50-1
Ryan Preece 50-1
Brad Keselowski 50-1
Noah Gragson 75-1
Austin Cindric 75-1
A.J. Allmendinger 75-1
Aric Almirola 75-1
Chris Buescher 100-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 125-1
Justin Haley 200-1
Michael McDowell 500-1
Harrison Burton 500-1
Ty Dillon 750-1
Corey Lajoie 1000-1
Todd Gilliland 1000-1
B.J. McLeod 2500-1
J.J. Yeley 2500-1
Cody Ware 2500-1
